Market index at 692.94, down 0.0058%, two-day losing streak. Volume shrinks 7.79% while online users rise 0.81%—classic 'watch and do nothing' bullishness. USP-S | Kill Confirmed jumps from 10th to 1st, Karambit | Doppler drops from 6th to 14th.
Intro: The market index closed at 692.94 today, down 0.0058%, marking a two-day losing streak. Turnover was 11,845,132.68, down 7.79% from the previous day—volume shrinking like a weekend late-night casual match. But don't rush to call it a crash: online users stood at 564,246, up 0.81%. People are here, money isn't—call it spectator-style long positioning.
1. The Big Picture: Moving Average Above, Volume Below
The index at 692.94 sits 0.25 points below the sample mean of 693.19. In plain English: the index is doing sit-ups under the moving average—can't get up, but hasn't lain flat either. Two consecutive down days, DOWN 2 days—the classic 'slow bleed isn't a crash, but it kills you softly' pattern.
Turnover: 11,845,132.68, down 7.79% MoM; volume: 537,777, down 10% MoM. Both price and volume shrinking—a textbook 'volume contraction pullback.' Call it washing if you're polite, or 'no bids' if you're blunt. Today's new valuation added 1,682,110.11, down 20.56% MoM. Valuation growth cut by a fifth—the market is even economizing on imagination.
Circulating supply: 1,143,090,260; holders: 29,845,605; online: 564,246, up 0.81% from yesterday same time, up 2.13% from last week same time. Many people, little money—like scalpers outnumbering fans at a concert. Support near the moving average at 693.19; resistance at the previous high. Until volume expands, any bounce is just a 'technical head lift.'
2. Leaderboard Changes: Some Ride the Elevator, Some the Slide
Today's top gainer: USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested), +1.6592%, jumping from 10th to 1st—not a rise, a springboard launch. AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) +0.8273%, from 12th to 2nd—another back-row comeback. M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested) +0.5015%, from 2nd to 3rd—up in price but pushed down in rank by two queue-jumpers: won the price, lost the face.
The zero-change group is a zen ensemble: AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) from 13th to 4th, AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) from 1st to 5th, Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) from 3rd to 6th, Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) from 11th to 7th, ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) from 7th to 8th—prices flat, ranks bouncing. Proof that the leaderboard is relative motion: if you don't run, others do, and you look like you're falling behind.
On the losers' side: ★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) -1.4404%, from 6th to 14th, sliding out of the top ten—the claw had a bad grip today. AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested) -1.0546%, from 4th to 13th, from podium edge to back-row seats. AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) -0.1936%, from 14th to 12th—down in price but up two ranks: 'losing less is still winning.' AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) -0.0030%, from 5th to 9th—basically flat, but rank fell harder than price, purely squeezed by the front row.
Drop-outs: AWP Asiimov from 1st to 5th, Glock Fade from 3rd to 6th, Karambit Doppler from 6th to 14th—half the top three changed. This isn't a leaderboard; it's musical chairs. When the music stops, whoever's left holding the bag looks silly.
3. Technical Take: No Golden Cross, No Death Cross—Just Sideways
Technically, the index at 692.94 runs below the sample mean of 693.19—a 'weak equilibrium under moving average pressure.' No golden cross because the short MA hasn't turned up; no death cross because the decline is too gentle. This pattern is 'rubbing against the MA.' Rub long enough, and it either breaks out with volume or steps down with shrinking volume.
Volume-price: turnover -7.79% MoM, volume -10% MoM—volume shrinking faster than price, meaning selling pressure is light but buying interest is lighter. In stock market slang: not distribution, just no accumulation. Overbought/oversold indicators are in no-man's land—no reason to chase, no signal to bottom-fish.
Streak-wise, the market is DOWN 2 days. Historically, after two down days, the third day often sees a repair attempt, but today's turnover didn't cooperate, so the repair strength is doubtful. On individual items, USP-S suppressor jumped from 10th to 1st with a short-term gain of +1.66%—smells like 'eve of overbought.' Chasers beware of becoming bag holders—after all, it was squatting at 10th yesterday, topped today, and might revisit 9th tomorrow.
Final reminder: Karambit Doppler leads the decline at -1.44%. Knife enthusiasts, don't rush to call a bottom. Before the trend completes, the bottom is round, not sharp. Data from SteamDT; markets change daily, humor never stops. May your positions stay green and your orders get filled.