SteamDT data shows the CS2 skin index closed at 737.12, down 0.2611%, below its near-term moving average of 740.33. Turnover fell 7.81% and concurrent players dropped 14.03%. All 14 gainers and losers list slots are new entries, with zero-gain items dominating the board.
Intro: When Every Shop on the Street Changes Its Sign at Once
SteamDT shows the skin index closed at 737.12 in the early hours of October 12, down 1.93 points or 0.2611% from yesterday. Not a big number, but combine it with a 7.81% drop in turnover and a 14.03% plunge in concurrent players versus the same time yesterday, and this market feels like a bustling night market hit by a cold gust—stall owners are still there, but a third of the customers vanished, lights are on, and nobody's buying.
1. The Index: Breaking Below the Near-Term MA, a Classic Volume-Price Divergence Script
Technical picture first. The near-term moving average (sample mean) sits at 740.33, while the latest index point is 737.12—the index has slipped about 3.2 points below the MA. This isn't a golden cross; it's the MA waving from above saying "come up here if you can." The streak count shows DOWN 1 day, meaning the prior mini-rally is dead, and the bulls' celebration party just got doused with cold water.
The volume-price relationship is even uglier. Today's turnover is 12,352,262, down 7.81% from yesterday's 33,772,939.99—turnover shrank by nearly two-thirds in a single day. Trading volume is 562,347, down 7.00% from yesterday's 1,310,249. New valuation is 2,038,179.14, down 10.43%. In plain English: it's not that nobody's selling, it's that nobody's buying. Sellers are still parked at resistance, buyers have all gone to bed.
Total supply is 1,133,554,967, holders number 29,755,657, and current online users are 504,044—down 14.03% from the same time yesterday and 5.60% from the same time last week. Online users are the market's thermometer, and today that thermometer dropped faster than the index. From an overbought/oversold perspective, the index isn't far from its MA, so it's not oversold, but this kind of turnover shrinkage looks more like a low-volume drift down above support—the old technical saying: shrinking volume isn't necessarily a bottom, it might just mean nobody wants to catch the falling knife.
2. Leaderboard Changes: All 14 Slots Are New Entries, a Complete Roster Overhaul
The weirdest thing about today's board isn't the gains or losses—it's that all 14 slots across the gainers and losers lists are marked as "new entry." No rank-ups, no rank-downs, no drop-offs, just a clean sweep of "new." It's like a teacher scrambled the entire classroom seating chart, and everyone is a transfer student.
Gainers #1 is Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New), +1.7455%, debuting straight at the top. #2 is USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested), +0.3750%. From #3 to #7—AWP | Neo-Noir, M4A4 | Temukau, Desert Eagle | Printstream, ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade, AWP | Containment Breach—all at 0.0000%, like a row of stocks with the pause button pressed, listed but not trading. What does this zero-gain board domination mean? It means the board selection is driven more by liquidity or attention than actual price movement. Don't rush in just because something is on the list; zero-gain "listees" are spectators, not players.
The losers list is also all new entries: #14 AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested) at -0.8849% at the bottom, #13 AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) at -0.4867%, #12 AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) at -0.4480%, #11 AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) at -0.2301%, #10 M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) at -0.1404%, #9 AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested) at -0.1173%, #8 ★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) at -0.0640%. Note that the top of the losers list is all classic AK and AWP favorites—this isn't a single item collapsing, it's a sector ebbing. Blue-chip classics dipping together means capital is shifting out of "consensus assets."
3. Technical Commentary: Moving Averages, Support, and That Volume Bar Nobody's Catching
Putting the three data blocks together, this chart looks like a textbook technical analysis illustration: the index at 737.12 sits below the near-term MA at 740.33, with the short-term MA turning down; turnover down 7.81%, volume not confirming; online users down 14.03%, sentiment leading the decline. All three point the same way—a "price down, volume down, sentiment scattering" combo, a classic weak consolidation pattern, not a buildup before a breakout.
From a support/resistance angle, the 740.33 near-term MA has flipped from support to overhead resistance. For the index to reclaim it, turnover needs to at least return to yesterday's 33,772,939.99 level, not today's 12.35 million. Volume is the legs of price, and today those legs are clearly shaking.
On the gainers side, Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) at +1.7455% is the only decent offensive signal, but it's just one item, and it debuted straight to the top as a "new entry"—a sudden move, not a confirmed trend. USP-S | Kill Confirmed at +0.3750% is a mild follower. The rest at 0.0000% shows extremely poor market breadth—not a broad rally, just a lone survivor.
On the losers side, AK-47 | Inheritance at -0.8849% leads the decline, today's clearest selling pressure exit; AWP | Asiimov at -0.4867% and AK-47 | Asiimov at -0.4480% follow closely. In terms of consecutive declines, these are just single-day pullbacks, not yet a streak structure, but if turnover keeps shrinking, tomorrow's "DOWN 2 days" label might not be far off.
A final reminder for those chasing highs: all-new leaderboard entries mean today's rankings have very limited reference value, with many slots filled by zero-gain placeholders. Those rushing in after seeing #1 at +1.7455% are often providing liquidity to the #2 through #7 holders sitting at 0.0000%. There's no golden cross here, just the MA staring down coldly from above. Data from SteamDT. Markets carry risk, catching the knife requires caution—after all, 14% of online users already ran. Are you sure you want to be the one who stays?