796 Fake Green: Temukau Takes the Crown, Shrinking Volume on a Rising Tape, Online Bleeds Out

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September 23, 2026 at 09:09:28

SteamDT’s 01:08 snapshot shows index 796.64 (+4.67, +0.5897%) after two down days—a thin bounce above the 793.17 mean on volume -10% and online -11.2%. Temukau rockets from #13 to #1 (+2.9604%) while old leaders flat at 0% shuffle seats.

Morning note for the C5GAME order-book chartists. At the SteamDT 01:08 snapshot, the CS2 skin “index” printed a stubby green candle: 796.64, up +4.67 (+0.5897%) versus yesterday. The system still logs two consecutive down days—so please don’t tweet “golden cross” before your coffee cools. This reads like a dead-cat bounce / probe after a dip, not a trend reversal stamp.

Market: one inch above the mean, volume and price in different departments

Near-term sample mean: 793.17. Last print: 796.64—about 3.47 points above the “cost band.” Technically that’s back on top of the moving average, but today’s volume is 511106, -10.0000% day-over-day (yesterday 1195798). Classic rally on shrinking volume: price climbs while participation walks out, like only the front row is shouting bids and the back row is still scrolling TikTok.

Turnover today: 13252249.59, +5.1100% vs yesterday (32304201.90). Side-by-side, that’s not “volume party”—more slightly higher notional on fewer tickets: fewer whales, more minnows, or weak handoff at the highs. New valuation added: 2805970.73, -67.4200%—fresh money isn’t rushing in; don’t treat this as a “free money” signal.

Float (supply): 1125390240; holders: 29668570—inventory still heavy. Online now: 417343, -11.2000% vs same time yesterday, -2.8100% vs same time last week. The “online heat” sector is bleeding like volume. If you hunt support on C5 or Steam, watch whether this sentiment moving average starts curling up.

Leaderboard reshuffle: Temukau hijacks the cap, veterans nap at 0%

Top gainers today look like tight rotation, but rank drama is real:

  • M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested): rank up, #13 → #1, +2.9604%—textbook small-cap sentiment hijack.
  • Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New): #5 → #2, +0.5105%, rank up—fade royalty still listed, just yielded the throne.
  • AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested): #1 → #3, +0.2874%, rank down—still green, but relative strength lost to Temukau; leader “can’t beat the laggard bounce.”
  • AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested): #14 → #4, +0.0046%, rank up—barely moved; promoted by everyone else standing still.
  • AK-47 | Redline, AWP | Asiimov, M4A1-S | Printstream: #2/3/4 → #5/6/7, 0.0000%, rank down—zero volatility seat swap, not a sector explosion.
  • USP-S | Kill Confirmed, Desert Eagle | Printstream: rank up into top nine, also 0.0000%—sorting jitter.
  • ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade, ★ Karambit | Doppler, AK-47 | Vulcan, AWP | Containment Breach: slid #6~9 → #10~13, rank down—high-beta knives taking a rest zone.
  • Losers board: AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) at #14, -0.3186%, rank down (was #12)—today’s relative weak link; the only clear minus, like the first support to crack in a stress test.

Ins / outs narrative: Temukau and Inheritance charged from the tail; several former front-row 0% names didn’t “leave the story”—they got crowded down. Theme: Temukau strength + flat reshuffle.

Technician’s closing (not financial advice)

  1. MA deviation: 796.64 vs 793.17 isn’t stretched; after two red days this small green bar is mean reversion, not overbought euphoria.
  2. Volume divergence: price +0.5897%, volume -10%—skip the “breakout buy” script; on C5GAME, high limits often make you the liquidity provider while online keeps leaking.
  3. Leadership: AK Asiimov +0.2874% but dethroned ⇒ rotation into Temukau (+2.9604%), not broad beta. Redline / AWP Asiimov / Printstream at 0% look like platform tests—break or hold depends on volume returning.
  4. Sector metaphor: treat turnover as the “capital sector”—13.25M today vs yesterday’s 32.30M tier; heat ranks follow online -11.2%. Knife rank slips (Butterfly Fade, Karambit Doppler) = high beta resting first.
  5. Playbook tone: conservatives wait for volume up + online stable before “second golden cross”; aggressives watch Temukau for continuation—so far one +2.9604% pulse; Neo-Noir -0.3186% warns that one red day at the tail trashes your rank.

Data: SteamDT https://www.steamdt.com